Monthly Archives: September 2013
The Mises Institute has started a video series, in which one of the professors at the Institute gives the “Mises View” on a current event. The great thing about this series is that these are short videos (~5 min), in contrast with the hour-long lectures usually posted on misesmedia. In the clip below, Peter Klein discusses Blackberry’s recent downfall in the broader context of Austrian theory.
First thing I should say is that I’m glad they’re doing this. Shorter videos have more appeal to a larger audience, and while this is still great for the base of supporters they already have, I think their main goal in doing this series should be to expand that base.
So that’s where a slight criticism of mine comes in. The downside of shorter videos is that you can’t properly develop the arguments you do have. That said, I don’t think the first of Klein’s arguments will reach very many people who don’t understand the fundamentals of Austrian economics, especially those with a mainstream economics background.
To summarize, Klein is arguing against those economists who propose government intervention as a solution for the market failure of network effects.
In the video, Klein responds “just a few moments of reflection can show that this is not at all a good idea: the government is in no position to make these decisions ex ante. The government doesn’t know what technologies will end up being the most popular, which technologies will end up satisfying consumers in the greatest way.”
It’s true that the concept Klein is discussing is almost unbearably simple, but to individuals without any knowledge of Austrian basics, it might seem like the folowing:
Mainstream economist: Market failures exist where the best product may not actually be chosen by the market due to things such as network effects. In such industries, it’s best if government steps in and tries to fix it.
Just for emphasis: I am NOT saying Klein does say this, I’m saying to an individual without knowledge of the fundamentals of Austrian economics might see it like this.
So let me elaborate on Klein’s argument so it is clear what he’s saying and so that a supporter of intervention to fix this apparent market failure does realize it’s a strong one. In addition, I want to expand on this argument to my own conclusion, which is in fact the title of this post.
Individuals act to satisfy preferences. Markets are created by individuals voluntarily trading one good for another. If I spend $100 on a phone, it’s because I value the phone over the $100. In contrast, the seller of the phone values the $100 over the phone. If one of these two conditions did not hold, the trade would not take place.
The phone was produced by a producer in anticipation of the trade. He believed creating this product now would satisfy an individual’s preference for it in the future. If he’s right, he makes a profit, but if he’s wrong, he’ll make a loss. As such, a correct anticipation of preferences that rewards a businessman with profit will allow him to stay in business, but incorrect anticipations that result in losses will tend to drive him out of business.
Before we move on, let’s differentiate between ex ante and ex post.
ex ante: this means right before and at the moment of the exchange. An individual ex ante values what he is receiving over what he is giving up in a voluntary trade. Otherwise he would not do it.
ex post: this means after the exchange. An individual ex post, after an exchange, may realize the trade was a mistake and no longer value what he received over what he gave up. Alternatively, ex post he may still think he made the right decision.
As we can see, in the marketplace, there is a connection between sellers and buyers in that sellers always satisfy their buyers ex ante preferences. This is because it is a voluntary trade: the seller is funded by voluntary means and must make profits to stay in business.
What about ex post? There is no necessary connection between any particular trade and the satisfaction of ex post preferences for that trade. Even if the trade is voluntary, mistakes can be made on the part of consumers. However, there is a tendency for the satisfaction of ex ante preferences, which as we have seen, always result from voluntary trade, to result in the satisfaction of ex post preferences in the long run. Let’s go back to the individual in the previous example to see why. If he thought he made a mistake by buying the phone for $100, now he can choose to buy another phone instead. The realization of his mistake allows him to make correct decisions in future exchanges.
Now, a person might admit this, but then bring up the supposed “market failure” of network effects in the free market. Essentially, this argument states that certain products have value not only for the obvious reasons they satisfy a person’s preferences, e.g. a phone allows a person to communicate, but also because the more people that use that particular product, the more value it has, e.g. you wouldn’t want to switch from Facebook to some other social network because your friends wouldn’t be there. Because of this, it’s possible a product that wasn’t objectively the best of its kind could be chosen just because it has a particular network associated with it that people can’t break off of to switch to the better product.
Because of this, the person might continue to say, government needs to step in and regulate the sector so that the best products are chosen.
Let’s accept the existence of network effects. This is certainly a legitimate phenomenon as the example of Facebook above shows. However, the government clearly cannot be a solution. We have seen that businessmen who engage in voluntary trades do satisfy the ex ante preferences of individuals, and this process tends to result in the satisfaction of ex post preferences. Businessmen are ultimately funded in this voluntary manner, and must earn profits to stay in business. However, government, which is ultimately funded by taxpayers has no connection to the satisfaction of preferences, not ex ante and certainly not ex post. This is because taxation is not a voluntary exchange. In addition, there is no direct connection between this method of funding and the decisions the members of government make. Government doesn’t have to be “profitable” to stay in the “business” of regulation; in fact these very terms are inapplicable here.
Because there is no test to see if government regulators are making the right decisions, there is no reason to expect they will in fact make correct decisions. Instead, we should expect government regulators to make horribly wrong decisions: without profit and loss, government is like a blind and deaf man who also has happened to drink a bit too much alcohol in the past few hours. We can only hope he manages to get home safely tonight, but if he walks in front of a moving bus and gets hit, we should not be surprised.
If the government can’t fix this problem, what are we going to do? The important thing to realize, as with all arguments revolving around market failures, is that network effects are only one incentive working amongst many incentives involved in human action. For example, if a product is bad enough, no amount of network effects are going to keep individuals from switching to another product. What we shouldn’t do, in attempting to make the situation better, is ditch the ex ante preference satisfaction the market provides and throw a bunch of random fix-its instead. Ex ante preference satisfaction is far too fundamental to disregard; if we do this, it is likely we are making the situation even worse.
Finally: when I say there’s really no such thing as market failures, I say that because all market failures are merely instances of a broader concept of human failure, which cannot be “scientifically” solved by individuals outside the market (and this belief that individuals outside the market can solve this issue is precisely why they call it a market failure: putting the blame on the market means there could be a solution outside). Humans are at fault for being bandwagoners and choosing a product that has a large network but is clearly deficient in other respects to other products. But when the blind, deaf, and drunk guy comes along and tells you he can fix everything for you, reacting with skepticism is the proper response.
Economics, therefore, is not a science that deals particularly with “material goods” or “material welfare.” It deals in general with the action of men to satisfy their desires, and, specifically, with the process of exchange of goods as a means for each individual to “produce” satisfactions for his desires. These goods may be tangible commodities or they may be intangible personal services. -Rothbard; Man,Economy, and State with Power and Market p. 162
I have planned out at least one blog post on this subject, although I may not have time before Obama actually takes action. So I just wanted to link to two posts that you can read in the meantime or in case I don’t get to it at all:
- “Humanitarian Murder: It’s a Gas” by Joseph Fetz. Here, Fetz makes the libertarian argument against war while discussing Syria in particular. He shows that “humanitarian war” is essentially a contradiction in terms. This is a very well-written piece, and I highly recommend it.
- “Presidential War Powers: The Constitutional Answer” by Thomas Woods. Woods sets out the constitutional argument against presidential declarations of war and responds to counterarguments. Really, this is your one-stop shop if you want to understand the Constitution on war powers and be ready for many, many counterarguments. Of course, these can all be found in more detail in Woods’s books.
But why should anyone accept scientism in the first place? Rosenberg gives a single brazen non sequitur in its defense. The predictive power, explanatory range, and technological successes of physics, he says, far outstrip those of other purported sources of knowledge. And this, he concludes, shows that what physics tells us is real is all that is real. But this is like arguing that since metal detectors have had far greater success in finding coins in more places than any other method, metal detectors show that only coins exist.
I’ve considered this argument based on the explanatory power of science but never really had a good reply till now. Feser’s response is devastating and his analogy hits the nail on the head.
Science (as in the natural sciences) is certainly useful. That’s precisely why people use it! That doesn’t mean it’s useful for everything nor does it mean it’s the only method for gaining knowledge.
And as Gene Callahan points out, science has its own philosophical presuppositions:
The fact is that a [scientific] finding that “the brain and body function in a perfectly deterministic manner” would say nothing at all about free will. The world of science is an abstraction from the totality of experience, and, as such, does not speak of that totality, but only of its own, abstract world. But a statement such as “I have free will” is a statement about the totality of experience, and thus is not impacted at all by any conclusion from the world of science. In fact, to reach a scientific conclusion such as “the body is perfectly deterministic” assumes free will: one has concluded x only when one could have concluded y instead: one must choose a conclusion. But for it to have been possible to have chosen one course but for another to have been chosen is just what “having free will” means. Free will is assumed by scientific reasoning, and, as such, certainly can’t be disproven by it.
Only philosophy tells us about reality unabated.